What Will Change if Donald Trump Wins? – Part 2
(Feat. Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Agenda 47, MAGA, 2024 Presidential Election, Deep State, Asia, China, Taiwan, North South Korea, Congress, Democrats, Republicans and the USA)
Continuing from Part 1, let’s look at more possible changes if Donald Trump wins the presidency.
55. Trump has kicked off “Project 2025” to put together his presidential transition team, already accepting applications for 20,000 positions.
56. This effort ties into his promise to eliminate what he calls the “Deep State” from government.
57. Trump believes in the existence of a “Deep State,” claiming that certain people in intelligence and the media form secret groups that control the U.S. from behind the scenes.
58. He plans to issue an executive order on day one to fire bureaucrats he sees as problematic, especially within security and intelligence agencies.
59. Trump has pledged to declassify ‘certain documents‘ to reveal what he believes are Deep State “misdeeds” and create an independent agency to oversee intelligence activities.
60. As part of weakening the Deep State, he also wants to move 100,000 federal jobs from Washington, D.C., to other areas of the country.
61. Trump believes America First requires military dominance.
62. He plans to boost defense spending to record levels.
63. He also wants to build a high-tech missile defense system to shield the U.S. and its allies from hypersonic missiles.
64. Trump warns that any country launching a missile at the U.S. would face devastating consequences.
65. He plans to make it harder to gain U.S. citizenship.
66. Trump proposes ending “birthright citizenship” so that babies born in the U.S. to non-citizens would no longer automatically become citizens, aiming to stop “birth tourism.”
67. He also wants to block undocumented immigrants’ children from getting citizenship, Social Security numbers, passports, or access to welfare programs.
68. He views illegal immigration as a violation of U.S. sovereignty and is open to using the military to secure the border if needed.
69. Trump’s Agenda 47 centers on “America First.”
70. He aims to prioritize U.S. interests in all areas, including the economy, trade, foreign policy, defense, and immigration.
71. Even if only some of Trump’s promises are implemented, they could bring big changes.
72. For instance, higher tariffs would likely raise the prices of imports.
73. Cutting taxes could reduce government revenue, which might increase the budget deficit.
74. A bigger deficit would require more government bonds, boosting the money supply and possibly weakening the dollar.
75. A weaker dollar might mean higher interest rates, as bond yields would need to rise to attract investors, pushing up borrowing costs.
76. If both tariffs and tax cuts happen, inflation could increase.
77. Higher inflation would make it tough for the Federal Reserve to keep lowering interest rates.
78. Even if the Fed cuts rates once or twice this year, markets might start doubting that rate cuts will continue as planned by 2025.
79. U.S. troop withdrawal could become a major issue across Asia, especially for Taiwan and South Korea amid rising U.S.-China tensions.
80. Trump has claimed that he ordered U.S. troop withdrawal from South Korea during his first term—and now, in his campaign, he’s suggesting a potential withdrawal from Taiwan as well.
81. He postponed this move at that time, reportedly because his advisors encouraged him to hold off, but he sees it as a priority for a potential second term.
82. If re-elected, Trump might seriously pursue U.S. troop withdrawal from overall Asia.
83. But first, he’s likely to demand a significant increase in South Korea and Taiwan’s defense contributions.
84. While the Joe Biden administration completed a cost-sharing agreement, Trump could still push for more.
85. He could use a range of strategies to pressure for higher payments.
86. Trump might threaten to pull troops or deploy military assets to pressure South Korea and Taiwan to pay more in defense costs against threats from North Korea and China.
87. However, U.S. troop withdrawal requires Congressional approval, so it’s not a decision Trump can make on his own.
88. This could create additional challenges.
89. Remember, the U.S. presidential election also includes Congressional elections.
90. On election day, voters will choose both Senators and Representatives.
91. In the Senate, only 34 out of 100 seats are up for election.
92. Senators serve six-year terms, with about a third of seats up for election every two years.
93. Right now, Democrats and independents hold 51 Senate seats, while Republicans hold 49.
94. Of the 34 seats up for election, 23 are held by Democrats and independents, which means Democrats need to keep these to hold their majority.
95. Since the Senate is currently split 51-49, Democrats can’t afford to lose any seats, while Republicans only need two more to regain control.
96. Republicans currently have a slight advantage in the Senate races.
97. In the House of Representatives, where terms last two years, all 435 seats are up for re-election.
98. Right now, Republicans have a slim majority with 221 seats compared to Democrats’ 214.
99. The Wall Street Journal predicts Democrats are set to secure 194 seats, while Republicans are expected to get 201, with 40 seats too close to call.
100. If Trump wins, there’s a chance Republicans could control both the House and Senate.
101. This would give Trump the freedom to push his agenda with fewer obstacles.
Alphazen Insights
Not every promise in Trump’s plan is likely to fly. Completely cutting something like the Inflation Reduction Act? That’s tricky—especially since a huge 78% of its investments flow to Republican districts. But with no re-election to worry about, he’d have the freedom to go big and bold. So while all eyes are glued to the presidential race, don’t overlook Congress! The balance of power in the House and Senate could make or break Trump’s “America First” agenda.
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